{"id":3495,"date":"2026-06-09T10:00:51","date_gmt":"2026-06-09T08:00:51","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/afen.fr\/?p=3495"},"modified":"2026-06-10T15:05:50","modified_gmt":"2026-06-10T13:05:50","slug":"the-state-of-carbon-dioxide-removal-3rd-edition-key-figures-and-what-they-mean-for-france","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/afen.fr\/en\/actualite\/the-state-of-carbon-dioxide-removal-3e-edition-les-chiffres-cles-et-ce-quils-impliquent-pour-la-france\/","title":{"rendered":"The State of Carbon Dioxide Removal, 3rd edition: key figures and what they mean for France"},"content":{"rendered":"<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\" id=\"ember61\"><em>According to<\/em><em> <a href=\"https:\/\/www.stateofcdr.org\/report\/3rd-edition\">Based on The State of Carbon Dioxide Removal, 3rd edition, published on June 2, 2026, by the University of Oxford and its partners.<\/a><\/em><em>, published on June 2, 2026, by the University of Oxford and its partners<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 id=\"ember62\" class=\"wp-block-heading\">In brief<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\" id=\"ember63\">The 3rd edition of the State of Carbon Dioxide Removal (SoCDR) report, an independent benchmark on carbon dioxide removal (CDR), was published on June 2, 2026. Coordinated by a consortium of research institutes, it analyzes the state of research, investment, and public policies for over a dozen CDR approaches. Notably, the study distinguishes between \"conventional\" approaches (nature-based solutions like reforestation or soil management) and \"novel\" approaches, whether hybrid or technological (biochar, enhanced rock weathering, or biogenic CO2 capture).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\" id=\"ember64\">Compared to previous editions, this third edition introduces several new features:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li class=\"translation-block\">A comparative analysis of costs and potentials for each method.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>An aggregation of recent scenarios<\/strong>, compiled specifically for this report.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>A database dedicated to CDR policies <\/strong>in G20 countries.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>The results of a survey<\/strong> regarding companies' ambitions and planned projects.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\" id=\"ember66\">The report identifies the period 2026\u20132030 as a critical window. Novel CDR approches, in particular, are in early-stage: they must still establish their legitimacy, prove their reliability, and scale up so that their long-term contribution to the Paris Agreement\u2019s goals becomes achievable. While the required ramp-up trajectory is not unprecedented, it requires an alignment of demand, financing, and governance that is still lacking today.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 id=\"ember67\" class=\"wp-block-heading\">1. CDR as an essential complement to emissions reduction<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\" id=\"ember68\">The third edition introduces a new way to quantify this effort: in the \u00abmaximum ambition\u00bb scenarios modeled for this edition, EDC accounts for approximately 16% of the cumulative effort to achieve carbon neutrality, compared to 84% for emissions reductions, with an EDC level of 8.8 GtCO\u2082\/year in 2050 (range: 6.5\u201313.3 GtCO\u2082\/year). This level is comparable to that of the second edition, which was based on different scenarios and estimated the role of EDC at around 7\u20139 GtCO\u2082\/year.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\" id=\"ember69\"><strong>One thing is certain between the two editions: reducing emissions remains by far the top priority.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\">\n<figure class=\"aligncenter\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/media.licdn.com\/dms\/image\/v2\/D4E12AQF2YuumGkJvBg\/article-inline_image-shrink_1500_2232\/B4EZ6n9BELIcAQ-\/0\/1780934251192?e=1782345600&amp;v=beta&amp;t=5lsKE_pYVZG68fdeVGsKmU0HttlGdXpCOcn7501aK7o\" alt=\"Article content\"\/><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">EDC plays a crucial role in complementing emission reduction efforts.<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n<h3 id=\"ember71\" class=\"wp-block-heading\">2. Novel CDR is growing rapidly, but from a small base<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\" id=\"ember72\">Globally, carbon removal currently stands at <strong>2.2 GtCO\u2082 per year<\/strong> (or approximately 5% of gross CO\u2082 emissions), marking a slight increase from the 2.1 GtCO\u2082\/year reported in the previous edition. However, this effort continues to be driven almost exclusively by conventional CDR approaches.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\" id=\"ember73\">For their part, novel CDR approaches still account for only <strong>0.1% of the global total<\/strong> (0.002 GtCO\u2082\/year). Nevertheless, they show encouraging momentum, with an average increase of <strong>+36.1% per year between 2020 and 2025<\/strong>, driven primarily by biochar. The rise of this solution has been accompanied by significant interest in its co-benefits, particularly soil health, support for agri-food systems, and regional resilience.<\/p>\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\">\n<figure class=\"aligncenter\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/media.licdn.com\/dms\/image\/v2\/D4E12AQFVCYYKyOK_Hg\/article-inline_image-shrink_1000_1488\/B4EZ6n9BLOKcAI-\/0\/1780934252230?e=1782345600&amp;v=beta&amp;t=7zbP3Pk9NOvzF-OZ_uQ3kR2hu-tLWCg_gvbxWg6qOLU\" alt=\"Article content\"\/><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">New approaches to sustainable agriculture, driven by biochar.<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n<h3 id=\"ember75\" class=\"wp-block-heading\">3. No single method combines maturity, high potential, and low cost<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\" id=\"ember76\">For the first time, the report systematically compares the costs and potential of 15 different methods. The range of costs is particularly wide: it varies from less than <strong>10 $\/tCO\u2082<\/strong> for certain nature-based solutions <strong>1,000 $\/tCO\u2082<\/strong> For technology-based solutions, the majority of methods reach estimates exceeding <strong>200 $\/tCO\u2082<\/strong>. At present, no single solution combines industrial maturity, low cost, and high deployment potential. This observation underscores the need to develop a diversified portfolio of approaches rather than relying on a single solution.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 id=\"ember77\" class=\"wp-block-heading\">4. A decline in national contributions and a widening gap<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\" id=\"ember78\">Current national commitments remain well below the required trajectories for 2035 and 2050. Evidence of this lag is that only about one-third of countries explicitly incorporate the new ECD methods into their medium-term strategies. The key development since the previous edition remains the United States\u2019 formal withdrawal from the Paris Agreement in January 2026, which automatically results in a downward revision of global commitments by approximately <strong>700 MtCO\u2082 by 2050<\/strong>. Furthermore, none of the updates to the Nationally Determined Contributions (NDCs)\u2014particularly within the G20\u2014show a significant increase in EDC.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\" id=\"ember79\">As a result, current commitments project a volume of <strong>2.5 GtCO\u2082\/year<\/strong> of CDR in 2030, compared to a median target of <strong>2.9 GtCO\u2082\/year<\/strong> for scenarios compatible with limiting global warming to 1.5\u00b0C. This shortfall in ambition, evident as early as 2030 (0.3 GtCO\u2082\/year), increases dramatically to reach <strong>1.2 GtCO\u2082\/year by 2035<\/strong> and <strong>5.2 GtCO\u2082\/year by 2050<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\">\n<figure class=\"aligncenter\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/media.licdn.com\/dms\/image\/v2\/D4E12AQF65Qn96Z_ziQ\/article-inline_image-shrink_1000_1488\/B4EZ6n9BObJkAM-\/0\/1780934251870?e=1782345600&amp;v=beta&amp;t=ZBlGmjuZQPPgne7h-1fuT1MJnRg6xnpcBO--58V_86o\" alt=\"Article content\"\/><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">National contributions are declining, and the EDC gap is widening.<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n<h3 id=\"ember81\" class=\"wp-block-heading\">5. Innovation is on the rise, but uneven<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\" id=\"ember82\">Innovation indicators (research funding, scientific publications, pilot projects, and investments in startups) have improved compared to 2023. However, this overall momentum masks disparities, such as the decline in high-value-added patents observed in recent years. Nevertheless, the resilience of funding allocated to CDR companies is remarkable against the backdrop of a global decline in climate investments; the sector now attracts <strong>3 %<\/strong> of these flows. In the voluntary carbon market, purchase agreements covering <strong>0.04 GtCO\u2082<\/strong> were signed last year.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 id=\"ember83\" class=\"wp-block-heading\">6. A fragile ecosystem that requires stronger demand signals<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\" id=\"ember84\">Uncertainty surrounding future demand remains a major obstacle to the sector\u2019s development. Most policies still focus on supply, while prices in emerging markets are too low to cover the actual production costs of most methods. Furthermore, the dismantling of federal climate policies in the United States undermines the sector\u2019s long-term outlook, increasing pressure on other economic powers to establish robust demand mechanisms.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\" id=\"ember85\">This vulnerability is exacerbated by the ecosystem\u2019s extreme structural concentration: a single buyer (Microsoft) alone accounts for <strong>82 %<\/strong> EDC Technology's purchase volumes on the voluntary market; <strong>74 %<\/strong> conventional loans come from Latin America; <strong>85 %<\/strong> public funding for pilot projects comes from only three countries (the United States, Sweden, and Denmark); and <strong>72 %<\/strong> Investments are concentrated in just four companies. Microsoft\u2019s recent strategic decisions and the U.S. withdrawal perfectly illustrate the vulnerability of this model. Diversification across methods, players, and geographies is essential <em>essential condition<\/em> a resilient scaling-up process.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 id=\"ember86\" class=\"wp-block-heading\">AFEN's Perspective: What This Means for France <\/h2>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>CDR innovation ecosystem is dynamic, and France is no exception. <\/strong>The <a href=\"https:\/\/afen.fr\/en\/news\/bcg-afen-report-carbon-dioxide-elimination-reaching-full-potential-in-france\/\">BCG x AFEN report<\/a> (March 2025) identifies significant potential in both nature-based solutions and technological approaches, and <a href=\"https:\/\/afen.fr\/en\/resources-and-events\/the-strength-of-local-regions-at-the-heart-of-existing-ledc-projects-and-potential-for-implementation\/\">our regional mapping<\/a> shows that project leaders exist throughout France. But as this report points out, the fragility of the ecosystem is a reality worldwide: concentration of players, uncertainty regarding demand, and dependence on a few buyers. France must actively support its ecosystem to prevent its players from being weakened by this global context.<br><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Other countries are taking concrete action.<\/strong> The United States, Sweden, and Denmark have committed several billion dollars to the deployment of large-scale CDR projects. The United Kingdom, Germany, and Canada have allocated budgets ranging from tens to hundreds of millions of euros to R&amp;D and pilot projects. Canada and Germany have also initiated public procurement mechanisms for EDC credits. In light of this global acceleration, France must formalize a clear national strategy, backed by concrete financial levers, to ensure the long-term sustainability of its industrial and environmental sovereignty.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>D&rsquo;apr\u00e8s The State of Carbon Dioxide Removal, 3e \u00e9dition, publi\u00e9 le 2 juin 2026 par l&rsquo;universit\u00e9 d&rsquo;Oxford et ses partenaires En bref La 3e \u00e9dition du rapport State of Carbon Dioxide Removal (SoCDR), r\u00e9f\u00e9rence ind\u00e9pendante sur l\u2019\u00e9limination du carbone (EDC), a \u00e9t\u00e9 publi\u00e9e le 2 juin 2026. Coordonn\u00e9e par un consortium d\u2019instituts de recherche, elle [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":9,"featured_media":3501,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-3495","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-blog"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v23.4 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>The State of Carbon Dioxide Removal, 3e \u00e9dition : les chiffres cl\u00e9s et ce qu&#039;ils impliquent pour la France &#8211; AFEN<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/afen.fr\/en\/news\/the-state-of-carbon-dioxide-removal-3rd-edition-key-figures-and-what-they-mean-for-france\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"The State of Carbon Dioxide Removal, 3e \u00e9dition : les chiffres cl\u00e9s et ce qu&#039;ils impliquent pour la France &#8211; AFEN\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"D&rsquo;apr\u00e8s The State of Carbon Dioxide Removal, 3e \u00e9dition, publi\u00e9 le 2 juin 2026 par l&rsquo;universit\u00e9 d&rsquo;Oxford et ses partenaires En bref La 3e \u00e9dition du rapport State of Carbon Dioxide Removal (SoCDR), r\u00e9f\u00e9rence ind\u00e9pendante sur l\u2019\u00e9limination du carbone (EDC), a \u00e9t\u00e9 publi\u00e9e le 2 juin 2026. 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